Spencer Aguiar digs into the Vegas golf betting lines to find the best PGA DFS sleepers for the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Plus, we know his game’s in a good place after trouncing the other families at the PNC with his dad. Mayo: Viktor Hovland (22-1) — I love Vik, but he’s being priced with the elites now, and first-timers basically never fare all that well in their first trip to Kapalua. Matsuyama will look to carry his momentum from a T-2 at the Houston Open and T-13 at Augusta National, his final two events of 2020, into 2021. section: | slug: pga-dfs-sentry-tournament-of-champions-2021-best-draftkings-fanduel-daily-fantasy-golf-picks-advice | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | His distance off the tee and ability to get hot with the putter should be a recipe for success at the Plantation Course. Justin Thomas and Dustin Johnson have been regulars in PGA DFS lineups for years, but daily Fantasy golf players will have to decide if they can be trusted when they set their PGA DFS strategy for the 2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 fantasy sports-writers association Golf Writer of the Year *(congrats, Brandon!)*. But there’s more to Kapalua than just smashing it. He improved his finish in each of his final four events of 2020, posting four consecutive top-24s—culminating with a T-2 at the Masters. He’s just middling in driving distance relative to this field and is the worst Bermuda putter among the 42 in action. So how do you make the tough decisions at the 2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions? English wins Sentry Tournament of Champions for third TOUR title. His putter is actually the big edge at Kapalua. Three players have opted not to play: Rory McIlroy, Tyrrell Hatton and Jim Herman. English, Palmer Share Sentry TOC Lead 10 January, 2021. Mayakoba: Abraham Ancer. Also was a runner-up in 2016. Sentry Tournament of Champions 2021 DFS picks: Bryson DeChambeau's distance gives him the most upside this week at Kapalua 1B4E8E2C-ADD5-411F-B091-816167ADE609 Close On outright winners, top-10 bets and matchups won and lost, our panel went up 225.30 units (the equivalent of being up $2,253 if you wagered $10 on all of our bets) last season. Hence his two victories and tie for third the past four years at Kapalua. William Hill Sportsbook has Johnson listed as the 6-1 favorite in its latest 2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions odds, while Thomas comes in at … Additionally, I think Rahm thrives on more difficult golf courses. Off we go then into a new year of PGA TOUR action. RSM: Brian Harman. English Leads Sentry TOC by 2 After 67 09 January, 2021. The Sentry Tournament of Champions kicks off the 2021 portion of the PGA Tour schedule. RSM: Brian Harman. The 2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions tees off Thursday, January 7th in Maui, Hawaii. Credit: Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports Scheffler is the reigning PGA Tour Rookie of the Year and he'll be playing in the Sentry Tournament of Champions for the first time in his career this week. 2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions betting picks – Favorite. Shriners: Jason Kokrak. Share this . However, Johnson enters this week's event ranked 85th in driving accuracy percentage (62.80) and 97th in birdie average (4.00). The distance advantage for DeChambeau will certainly come in handy, but that’s not the big selling point. His ability to consistently find the green in regulation has allowed Hovland to rack up 91 birdies in just 20 rounds this season, which makes him an extremely valuable PGA DFS asset. As a U.K.-based expert, Alldrick’s insight into European Tour regulars and low priced, low owned plays has provided an invaluable edge for readers when it comes to DFS GPPs. McClure is also targeting an undervalued player who's primed to blow up this week, giving you a huge return on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel. DailyRoto breaks down their 2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions Fantasy Picks in this premium PGA DFS article. Our tour caddie, who gives us picks every week from on-site anonymously, is fresh off predicting Viktor Hovland’s victory at Mayakoba in the last event of 2020. He finished T-13 and T-6 at two playoff events, T-17 at each the U.S. Open and Zozo Championship, and he won the CJ Cup. In fact, his partner that week is another one of my sleeper picks for the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Spencer Aguiar digs into the first round of the Sentry Tournament of Champions, providing his DFS model to try and locate potential value as we enter day two. That’s why it’s imperative to trust the right information—and in addition to our anonymous tour caddie making picks from the range each week, we have three of the best data scientists in the industry, Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Pat Mayo of Mayo Media Network, DraftKings and Fantasy National, and Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel. 7:32 am ET, The First Cut Golf Podcast: The Biggest Storylines on the PGA Tour in 2021, see the top PGA DFS picks, advice and player pool from SportsLine's Mike McClure, Head to SportsLine now to see his top daily Fantasy golf picks for the 2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions, Visit SportsLine now to see the complete player pool for FanDuel and DraftKings, McIlroy leads by one at Abu Dhabi Championship, Mickelson might not play PGA Tour as much in 2021, Woods undergoes fifth back surgery, out of two events, McIlroy expects Woods to return by Masters in April, Kevin Na gets fifth PGA Tour win at Sony Open, WGC-Mexico event moving to Florida for 2021, Former Masters winner Cabrera arrested in Brazil. Head to SportsLine now to see his top daily Fantasy golf picks for the 2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions. Click here to view the 2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions Leaderboard. Patrick Reed (+1800): The 2015 champion at this event, Reed came oh-so-close to winning his second career Sentry TOC last year, losing to Justin Thomas on the third playoff hole. Gehman: Jason Kokrak (75-1) — Kokrak finished 2020 in a flurry, notching top-20s in six of his final nine events. Bermuda: Doc Redman. The first … Zhang, Corpuz Invited to Curtis Cup Practice 07 January, 2021. McClure is a DFS pro with nearly $2 million in career winnings, and he's been red-hot on his PGA Tour picks this season. And like Hughes, Lanto strolls into Hawaii with four competitive rounds at the Plantation Course under his belt. They're a must-see for any PGA DFS player. RELATED: Legal gambling on pro golf has surged in recent years—and there's much more to come, Sentry Tournament of Champions 2021 picks: Matchups. I’d rather have one of those guys, all of whom should be highly motivated, at a better price than a guy who will probably just be happy to be in Hawaii among the game’s elite. Gdula: Webb Simpson (-110) over Viktor Hovland (FanDuel) — Neither Simpson nor Hovland rate as particularly long drivers, but despite that, Simpson has four top-12 finishes at Kapalua in his career, including a T-8 in 2019. Top 10 results from this season: Gehman: 4 for 12 (up 16 units); Powers: 1 for 12 (up 2 units); Hennessey: 1 for 12 (down 6 units); Tour caddie: 2 for 12 (down 6.95 units); Alldrick: 0 for 11 (down 11 units); Mayo, Gdula: 0 for 12 (down 12 units each). Historically, this event has been a birdie fest, which might blur the line between some of the more talented players in the field. Below, we look at the fantasy golf power rankings for the top 30 golfers at the 2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions.. Also see: 2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions odds, predictions and PGA Tour best bets It was the most of any golfer on the PGA Tour, and he was the only golfer to eclipse +1.90 per round. Lee Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Jon Rahm (+850) — Due to his elite off-the-tee game and around-the-green prowess, Rahm ranks seventh in FanShare’s course-suitability metric this week. DeChambeau should be able to control the damage on the greens and roll in plenty of birdies when given the opportunity. Sanderson: Sam Burns. Gdula: Sebastian Munoz (+550) — No-cut and strong-field events allow the best of the best to rise to the top, so longshots appeal more to me as top-10 options than outrights. Meanwhile, Jon Rahm, the … He ranks 19th in driving accuracy percentage (70.00), 33rd in birdie average (4.50) and ninth in strokes gained: off-the-tee (.887). Bermuda: Rasmus Hojgaard. After a well-deserved break for PGA Tour professionals, the season resumes this week as we head to Hawaii for the annual Sentry Tournament of Champions. Top-10 results from Mayakoba: Gehman: 1 for 1 (Brendon Todd, +500). Yes, he bombs the ball—maybe just a tick behind the Brysons and DJs, but at that next level. Thomas, whose PGA DFS price is $10,700 on DraftKings and $12,000 on FanDuel, is the defending champion of this event and is coming off a T-12 finish at the Mayakoba Golf Classic in December. The 2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions Fantasy Preview. Click above to listen to this week's episode of BE RIGHT, Golf Digest's gambling podcast. Johnson enters this week's event as the 6-1 favorite, according to the latest 2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions odds from William Hill Sportsbook. (Subscribe for video or audio. Before entering any PGA DFS tournaments or cash games for the Sentry Tournament of Champions 2021, you'll want to see the top PGA DFS picks, advice and player pool from SportsLine's Mike McClure. And Reed lost in a playoff last year—that’s even more motivation for him to contend this week. Sentry Tournament of Champions Best Value Picks. Right on cue, Lanto Griffin is hot off his runner-up in Naples teaming with Mackenzie Hughes. Sentry Tournament of Champions 2021 picks: Sleepers/Dark Horses Who Could Win. Gehman: Jon Rahm (+850) — It’s difficult to fade the No. Before that, Leishman struggled mightily after the restart, but he has recaptured his game, he returns to a course where he has top-10s in his past two appearances. Gdula: Daniel Berger (32-1) — Berger hasn’t played Kapalua in two years, but he had two top-15 finishes prior. Mayo is on the board of governors at www.fantasynational.com. email. An elite 42-player field is at the Plantation Course at Kapalua in Hawaii. After his victory in 2015, he has finished runner-up on two other occasions, including last year. Results from last season: Golf Digest's betting panel predicted 14 winners correctly. Scheffler has all the tools necessary to make a deep run in Hawaii this week, and McClure recommends you lock him in your PGA DFS lineups and look for a big return at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Of course, though, the data is there. © 2004-2021 CBS Interactive. Sanderson: Sebastian Munoz. He’s getting some of my money outright, too. You can find this at 60-1 on DraftKings Sportsbook, and act quickly because the line is moving. Xander ranks in the top 12 in both strokes gained/off the tee and in strokes gained/approach over the past 100 rounds, via FantasyNational.com. Great Bermuda player. He also has the seventh-worst ranking for Opportunities Gained over the past two months. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Justin Thomas (+750) — This course is tailored to all of JT’s strengths. Caddie: Jason Kokrak (75-1) — Kokrak doesn’t get enough credit for how good his game is now overall. Abraham Ancer and Scottie Scheffler could have the rare distinction of getting their first win in an event created for champions. Masters: Tyrrell Hatton. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industry’s leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. By Action Network Staff, The Action Network. That was one of many huge calls he made last year. He also finished profitable at the U.S. Open, nailing two of his best bets, including a +1100 top-five bet on Matthew Wolff. I’m happy to take Morikawa as the dog in this fight. RELATED: 10 players who will make you money in 2021. The 2021 PGA Tour will head to the Plantation Course from Kapalua, Hawaii on Thursday Jan. 7, 2021 for the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. ET. There are places to get in trouble here. He doesn’t get enough credit for his flat-stick prowess—he’s second in this field in strokes gained/putting over the past 100 rounds and ninth in three-putt avoidance. 2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions One and Done picks. Hennessey: Justin Thomas — I’m saving Bryson for Rocket Mortgage, so I’ll go with my second pick out of the favorites here. His two wins last year were at Muirfield Village and Olympia Fields, which are extremely tough tests. Powers, Golf Digest: Brian Gay (14-1) — Admittedly throwing a dart here, but why not take the highest top-10 odds you can get in a 42-man field? Simpson’s lack of length can be overcome if he’s striping his long irons and fairway woods. Rahm will be debuting his new Callaway clubs in competition for the first time. Be sure to check this column every week for picks from the hottest betting panel in golf! Courtesy of Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com: 2.09 — The average strokes gained, per round, for Dustin Johnson in 2020. Hovland, who's finished inside the top-15 in four of his last five starts on the PGA Tour, is an almost sure-fire bet to be near the top of the leaderboard come Sunday. Mayo: Adam Scott (45-1) — Approach play—especially wedges—are the key to Kapalua. He just won for the first time in nearly eight years in November, he loves Bermuda, and he is an excellent wind player. Lines last updated Wednesday at 2:42 p.m. He also ranks first in the field for SG/tee to green over the last two months and second in Opportunities Gained, per FantasyNational.com. Our anonymous tour caddie nailed Viktor Hovland (25-1) to finish 2020 strong. Mayakoba: Corey Conners. tweet. He’s finished no worse than T-4 in any of those starts, the best average finish of anyone in this field. Mayo: Hideki Matsuyama (+130) over Xander Schauffele (DraftKings) — Since Hideki hasn’t won an event since 2017, you may have forgotten this fact: In three starts from 2015 through 2018, Matsuyama never finished worse than T-4 at Kapalua, gaining at least 7.3 strokes/tee to green in each start. I think he makes the proverbial leap in 2021, though he’ll have to be much more consistent with his approach play, which steadily improved late in the fall and led to an eighth at Zozo and a T-19 in his first career Masters. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Sergio Garcia (+400) — Just like his fellow countryman, Garcia is another player whose elite off-the-tee game gives him a huge advantage around this course. Now, McClure has set his sights on this week's event and revealed his optimal PGA DFS advice, strategy and player pool. Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions for the 2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions. Matsuyama on the other hand should go extremely well. It’s safe to say JT has spent A LOT more time on the range grinding over the past couple of weeks than DJ, who’s rightfully been enjoying the Masters celebration. Zozo: Bubba Watson. I’ll be ready to bet him at Torrey, Pebble or Riviera—but other guys will simply be more motivated here. © 2021 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. That should serve Champ well (14th here last year in his first appearance). But I’m putting my money where my mouth is with my fade of DJ. Because three months of competition were lost due to … We bring sports news that matters to your inbox, to help you stay informed and get a winning edge. Also, Lee Alldrick of the incredibly usefull FanShareSports.com helps us find the best value in the odds every week. This week, it seems to be a consensus that the winner will come from one of the favorites. Matchup Results this season: Alldrick: 10 for 12 (up 7.04 units); Hennessey: 7-1-3 (up 3.20 units); Gdula: 6 for 12 (down 0.38 units); Mayo: 5 for 12 (down 2.23 units); Powers: 3-3-6 (down 3.18 units); Caddie: 3-1-9 (down 3.56 units); Gehman: 4 for 12 (down 4.13 units). After nailing Sergio Garcia (+5500) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the Sanderson Farms Championship, McClure finished up over $6,200 yet again on his best bets. The no-cut event will feature a 42-man field with 10 of the top 11 players on the planet looking to start the new year off right. We’re very confident you’ve landed in the best golf handicapping column on the internet. Event: Sentry Tournament of Champions When: January 7-10, 2021 Where: Plantation Course - Kapalua, HI Watch: The Golf Channel/NBC. Spencer breaks down the DraftKings PGA slate with his Sentry Tournament of Champions DFS lineup picks, under-owned value pays, and golfers to avoid for daily fantasy lineups. This is probably a continuation of that vacation for DJ, whereas this is more of a business trip for JT. That’s how it’s happened the past few years—Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele, Dustin Johnson, Justin Thomas and Jordan Spieth (during peak Spieth years) are the last five winners. Houston: Russell Henley. The second? Over the past 100 rounds, no player in the field is better than JT in strokes gained/approach, Opportunities Gained (Fantasy National’s measurement of how many birdie chances from 15 feet or closer players give themselves) and par-4 scoring. I always put the data first, but Schauffele is always locked in when playing in Hawaii. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Hideki Matsuyama (-105) over Patrick Cantlay (FanDuel) — As you can see above, I don’t fancy Cantlay’s chances this week. Masters: Rory McIlroy. pin. I love him because of his distance, but even more because of his putting. Lee Alldrick of FanShare Sports started out writing an article highlighting the best bargain plays for fantasy golf under his twitter handle @DKGolfBargains. Find out all the details of the golf event, plus cash expert picks and predictions focusing on favorites, value … Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Powers: Harris English — Great wind player. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Sebastian Munoz (80-1) — Munoz is ninth in the field in SG/tee to green over the past two months and 12th in Opportunities Gained. 2 player in the world, but these odds are too short for a golfer I have two small concerns about. The 2020-21 PGA Tour season enters its second act with the Plantation Course at Kapalua in Hawaii hosting the Sentry Tournament of Champions.Below, we’ll look for the best value bets in the 2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions betting odds with tournament matchups, placings and first-round leader (FRL) predictions. A tough task, but we’re getting plus-money on it. The 23-year-old will enter this week's event ranked 22nd on the PGA Tour in greens in regulation percentage (73.33). The latest 2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions odds lists Jon Rahm as the Vegas favorite at 7-2, with Thomas (9-2) and Schauffele (8-1) right behind him. Those who followed that advice saw a massive +5500 return. Last season, Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel correctly picked Patrick Cantlay at the Zozo Championship (30-1) and Christopher Powers predicted Bryson DeChambeau (28-1 at the U.S. Open)—picking up the momentum we had in the 2019-20 season. Visit SportsLine now to see the complete player pool for FanDuel and DraftKings, all from the expert who's made nearly $2 million in daily fantasy sports, to find out. Playing lights out since the restart, with just two missed cuts in 15 starts and four finishes inside the top six. But this is all about the price. Gehman: Hideki Matsuyama (+125) — Matsuyama is gearing up for a huge 2021, motivated by the opportunity to compete in the Olympics in his home country. Usually tournaments have 156 players, and there are so many variables each week. Zozo: Joaquin Niemann. He’s a better Bentgrass guy, but I still think he can strike it well enough here to contend. And be sure to subscribe wherever you get your podcasts! Picks like these could be the difference between winning your PGA DFS contests or going home with nothing. It’s always the putter with him. The Sentry Tournament of Champions kicks off the DFS Golf season for 2021 as many of the top players in the world and last year’s tournament champions gather in Maui at Kapalua Resort. Bryson’s inconsistencies last year came from mediocre approach play—I need to see proof that he’s figured that part out. Previous weeks: Safeway Open: Brendan Steele; U.S. Open: Louis Oosthuizen; Corales: Adam Long. Sentry Tournament of Champions Outright Winner Bets The top of the Tournament of Champions odds list is a who's-who of PGA Tour stardom, with Dustin Johnson (+600) leading the … Justin Thomas won last year at 14 under, the worst score during that stretch. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Dustin Johnson (6-1) — I’m surprised I’m alone on this island. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Patrick Reed (+110) — These aren’t great odds, but our anonymous tour caddie convinced me to build a hefty wager down on this. send. share. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. That streak goes back to the RBC Heritage in June. Hennessey: Justin Thomas (+100) over Dustin Johnson (FanDuel) — I love Mayo’s matchup, too, as Schauffele has admitted that he’s playing fatigued this week after battling COVID-19 over the holidays. Houston: Russell Henley. He didn’t crack the top 20 in any of those events, while Smith took his game to a new level. The course also really suits his game—we have him ranked fourth in our course-suitability ranking this week. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. And other than Spieth, that great course form returns to Kapalua this year in an expanded field with 16 players who didn’t win last year but were invited because they made the 2020 Tour Championship in the tour’s new provisions. And his irons are really good. His success at this prompted FanShare Sports to enlist him as a guest writer, which evolved into him writing the weekly Under The Radar article. Sentry Tournament of Champions 2021 picks: Top 10 (odds from DraftKings Sportsbook). RELATED: Sentry Tournament of Champions 2021 picks for DFS: Can Bryson DeChambeau break Kapalua? Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Patrick Cantlay (20-1) — This isn’t a course that suits Cantlay’s game at all; he only just sneaks into the top 20 of a 42-man field for course suitability. Adam Scott ( 45-1 ) — there ’ s lack of length can be overcome he... 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